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Incumbents Samson, MacMaster likely to win, says StFX prof

A political science professor at StFX says the Tories should still be able to mark down the Inverness riding as a win.

Allan MacMaster of the PCs is the incumbent in the riding; Liberal candidate Bobby Morris and Michelle Smith of the NDP are also in the running.

MacMaster was first elected in a 2009 byelection, then was re-elected in 2013.

Professor Yvon Grenier tells The Hawk that MacMaster's healthy margin of victory in the most recent election bodes well for him and his party.

"He won by around eight per cent ahead of the second candidate, so I think that that's considered, normally, pretty safe," he says. "Now, the situation may be different now depending on what's going on in the riding, but indeed, it's usually considered to be a safe riding for the Tories."

Grenier says he doesn't think any challengers will unseat the high-profile incumbent in Cape Breton-Richmond, either.

Michel Samson of the Liberals was first elected in 1998 and has kept his seat in five subsequent elections.

He served as both Minister of Energy and Minister of Acadian Affairs in the McNeil government, among other duties.

Alana Paon of the PCs and NDP candidate Larry Keating are challenging him.

Grenier says Samson's elevated standing in government will help him carry the day.

"He was a minister as well, and so he's someone who's considered important, with profile," he says, "and so I think it's probably safe to predict that he will win that election as well."

Grenier is predicting all four Quad Counties incumbents will keep their seats, and he says he believes that Samson's seat is the safest of the four.

Polls at the provincial election close at 8 p.m. Tuesday; that's when The Hawk's election coverage begins.

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